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However the scholarly study only found an association between your presence of moles and melanoma risk. It did not prove cause and effect.. Count the Moles on your own Arm to Predict Melanoma Risk?: – MONDAY, Oct. 19, 2015 – – Having 11 moles or even more on your best arm might reveal higher risk of melanoma, British experts say. The study results could help doctors more easily identify patients at highest risk for the potentially deadly pores and skin cancer, according to researchers from King’s College London. The findings could have a significant impact for primary treatment, allowing [primary treatment doctors] to more accurately estimate the total amount of moles in a patient extremely quickly through an easy to get at body part. This would imply that more patients vulnerable to melanoma could be identified and monitored, study lead writer Simone Ribero, of the section of twin study and genetic epidemiology, said in a college information release.